La scuola delle quote

Alexander Blockx v Alex de Minaur

Inizio: 2026-04-09 15:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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34 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexander Blockx (Casa)

Previsione 37.68%2.65quota equa
EV +20.56%
Vantaggio +6.43%
Kelly +9.35%
Crescita +1.92%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.82%37.02%37.66%39.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.352.552.503.2042.55%39.15%40.00%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alex de Minaur (Trasferta)

Previsione 62.32%1.60quota equa
EV -3.40%
Vantaggio -2.19%
Kelly -6.18%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.87%62.98%62.34%70.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.361.481.501.5573.53%67.39%66.67%64.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +20.56%E +6.43%K +9.35%G +1.92%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -15.24%E -11.21%K -42.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 14:54
Pinnacle3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV +16.80%E +5.42%K +8.00%G +1.34%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -12.12%E -8.60%K -29.57%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-09 14:55
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +5.49%E +1.96%K +3.05%G +0.168%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -12.75%E -9.10%K -31.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-09 14:55
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +3.61%E +1.31%K +2.06%G +0.074%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -11.50%E -8.10%K -27.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 14:54
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +3.61%E +1.31%K +2.06%G +0.074%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -12.75%E -9.10%K -31.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-09 14:54
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.29%E -0.492%K -0.796%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.25%E -7.12%K -23.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-09 14:54
Betclic (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 14:55
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 14:55
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 14:55
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 14:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-09 14:55
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 14:55
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 14:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.64%E -3.04%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 14:55
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 14:55
Betsson2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-09 14:55
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:55
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:55
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:55
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-09 14:55
LeoVegas2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -6.56%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.63%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-09 14:55
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 14:55
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-09 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.38%E -5.70%K -17.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 14:55
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.14%E -4.79%K -14.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-09 14:55
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.34%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -10.88%E -7.61%K -25.29%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-09 14:55
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.64%E -3.04%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-09 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -11.46%E -4.88%K -8.49%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -7.76%E -5.24%K -16.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-09 14:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-04-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-04-09 14:55
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%1.3%2026-04-09 14:55
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.13%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.87%1.7%2026-04-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.1%2026-04-09 14:55