Language:English
Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Tommy Paul
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)
Prediction 27.53%3.63fair odd
EV +6.82%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Growth +0.161%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.51%27.74%27.51%31.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.343.353.8834.48%29.97%29.85%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tommy Paul (Visit)
Prediction 72.47%1.38fair odd
EV +0.732%
Edge +0.527%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 1.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.08%72.26%72.49%75.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.301.3980.00%76.13%76.92%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local): 27.53%; Tommy Paul (Visit): 72.47%. For Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV +6.82%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.161% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -8.69%E -6.90%K -33.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +4.62%E +1.21%K +1.65%G +0.076% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.24%E +0.864%K +1.18%G +0.038% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.890%E -0.247%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.890%E -0.247%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.24%E -5.66%K -25.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.96%E -6.27%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.24%E -5.66%K -25.85%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.24%E -5.66%K -25.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-24 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.24%E -5.66%K -25.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.96%E -6.27%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.96%E -6.27%K -29.50%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-24 20:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 14:58 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.17%E -1.60%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-24 20:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-24 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.17%E -1.60%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 20:37 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -14.10%E -4.52%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-24 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 20:37 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-24 07:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.17%E -1.60%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-24 20:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-24 19:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -16.31%E -5.36%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV +0.732%E +0.527%K +1.88%G +0.014% | 4.8% | 2026-03-24 20:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.41%E -5.80%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-24 20:38 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -20.16%E -6.95%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-24 20:36 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60% | 2.8% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.35% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.65% | 2.9% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.2% | 2026-03-24 20:40 |