L’École des cotes

Tomas Martin Etcheverry v Tommy Paul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-24 20:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Local)

Prévision 27.53%3.63cote équitable
EV +6.82%
Avantage +1.76%
Kelly +2.37%
Croissance +0.161%

avec la cote maximale 3.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.51%27.74%27.51%31.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.343.353.8834.48%29.97%29.85%25.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.47%1.38cote équitable
EV +0.732%
Avantage +0.527%
Kelly +1.88%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.08%72.26%72.49%75.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.311.301.3980.00%76.13%76.92%71.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV +6.82%E +1.76%K +2.37%G +0.161%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -8.69%E -6.90%K -33.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 20:39
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +4.62%E +1.21%K +1.65%G +0.076%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -9.41%E -7.53%K -37.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 20:39
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.24%E +0.864%K +1.18%G +0.038%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-24 20:40
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.890%E -0.247%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-24 20:40
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.890%E -0.247%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-24 20:40
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 20:40
TAB3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -3.64%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -7.24%E -5.66%K -25.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 20:39
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:39
NordicBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:39
Casumo3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:40
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:39
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 20:40
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -5.02%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.09%EV -7.96%E -6.27%K -29.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-24 20:40
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 20:39
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 20:39
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 20:39
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 20:39
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-24 20:39
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 20:39
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 20:39
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 20:39
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 20:39
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-24 20:39
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.24%E -5.66%K -25.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-24 20:40
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 20:39
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.07%E -3.87%K -16.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 20:25
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-24 20:39
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.77%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.24%E -5.66%K -25.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 20:40
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 16:35
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-24 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 20:39
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 20:39
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 20:40
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.51%E -5.05%K -22.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-24 20:39
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.24%E -5.66%K -25.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-24 20:40
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -7.96%E -6.27%K -29.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-24 20:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.96%E -6.27%K -29.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-24 20:39
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-23 14:58
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.17%E -1.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 18:14
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -4.34%E -3.29%K -13.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-24 20:35
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.79%E -4.45%K -19.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-24 20:38
Bet Right3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 20:35
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 20:25
Betr (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -13.28%E -4.22%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.17%E -1.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 20:37
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -14.10%E -4.52%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-24 20:30
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 20:37
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 07:24
Parions Sport (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -2.17%E -1.60%K -6.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-24 20:19
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 19:45
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV -16.31%E -5.36%K -7.99%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV +0.732%E +0.527%K +1.88%G +0.014%4.8%2026-03-24 20:29
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -17.41%E -5.80%K -8.70%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -3.62%E -2.72%K -10.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-24 20:38
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -20.16%E -6.95%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -1.44%E -1.06%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-24 20:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-24 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-03-24 20:40
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%1.5%2026-03-24 20:40
ProphetX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%1.5%2026-03-24 20:40
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-03-24 20:40
Novig3.69I 27.10%NM 26.35%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.65%2.9%2026-03-24 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%3.2%2026-03-24 20:40