赔率学院

Mattia Bellucci v Murphy Cassone

开赛时间: 2026-03-17 21:22 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

27 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Mattia Bellucci (主队)

预测 73.65%1.36公平赔率
EV -2.04%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -6.19%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.33

博彩公司预测分布
70.64%73.68%73.63%77.41%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.211.271.281.3382.64%78.58%78.13%75.19%MIN均值中位数MAX

Murphy Cassone (客队)

预测 26.35%3.80公平赔率
EV +11.98%
优势 +2.82%
Kelly +3.68%
增长率 +0.441%

假设最高赔率为 4.25

博彩公司预测分布
22.59%26.32%26.37%29.36%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.203.583.504.2531.25%27.95%28.57%23.53%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (27 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -8.67%E -6.99%K -36.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +11.98%E +2.82%K +3.68%G +0.441%4.2%2026-03-17 21:20
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +6.71%E +1.66%K +2.20%G +0.147%4.7%2026-03-17 21:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +5.39%E +1.35%K +1.80%G +0.097%5.0%2026-03-17 21:00
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.46%E -5.09%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +1.44%E +0.373%K +0.504%G +0.007%4.7%2026-03-17 21:15
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.80%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.20%EV +0.910%E +0.238%K +0.321%G +0.003%3.6%2026-03-17 21:15
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.119%E +0.031%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 21:20
Unibet (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -8.67%E -6.99%K -36.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -1.20%E -0.319%K -0.436%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 21:15
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -10.14%E -8.31%K -46.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -2.52%E -0.680%K -0.932%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 21:20
LowVig.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.37%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.30I 76.92%NM 73.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.37%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-17 21:15
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.20%E -5.71%K -27.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.15%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 21:20
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.58%EV -10.88%E -8.99%K -51.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -6.47%E -1.82%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 21:00
GTbets1.30I 76.92%NM 73.03%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.26%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 21:00
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 21:20
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 21:20
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 21:20
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 21:20
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.93%E -6.35%K -31.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.78%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-17 21:01
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -9.10%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-17 21:15
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -5.72%E -4.47%K -20.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -10.42%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -4.99%E -3.87%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -13.05%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 21:20
NordicBet1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -6.46%E -5.09%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 21:20
Betsson1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -6.46%E -5.09%K -23.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -14.37%E -4.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 21:20
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.04%E -1.54%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -15.69%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 21:19
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -4.25%E -3.27%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -15.69%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 21:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-03-17 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%5.0%2026-03-17 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%5.0%2026-03-17 21:20
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-03-17 21:20