L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Marin Cilic v Alexander Zverev
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Marin Cilic (Local)
Prévision 8.85%11.29cote équitable
EV +15.11%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.190%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.34%9.65%8.68%18.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.259.4010.0013.0019.05%10.64%10.00%7.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Alexander Zverev (Visiteur)
Prévision 91.15%1.10cote équitable
EV +6.64%
Avantage +5.67%
Kelly +39.06%
Croissance +2.59%
avec la cote maximale 1.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
81.78%90.35%91.32%92.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.061.051.1799.01%94.06%95.24%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -53.51%E -10.19%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV +6.64%E +5.67%K +39.06%G +2.59% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV -46.69%E -7.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV +5.73%E +4.94%K +35.80%G +2.05% | 2.8% | 2026-03-23 21:50 |
| GTbets | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.11%EV -50.24%E -8.94%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.89%EV +5.73%E +4.94%K +35.80%G +2.05% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -49.08%E -8.54%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +3.91%E +3.43%K +27.90%G +1.09% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -51.30%E -9.33%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +3.91%E +3.43%K +27.90%G +1.09% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -51.30%E -9.33%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +3.91%E +3.43%K +27.90%G +1.09% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:09 |
| SportsBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -46.43%E -7.67%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV +2.99%E +2.65%K +23.03%G +0.689% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -41.47%E -6.27%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV +2.08%E +1.86%K +17.35%G +0.361% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -41.47%E -6.27%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV +2.08%E +1.86%K +17.35%G +0.361% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -49.53%E -8.69%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV +2.08%E +1.86%K +17.35%G +0.361% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:59 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -42.44%E -6.53%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -0.652%E -0.598%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| BoyleSports | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| FanDuel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Bovada | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Unibet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Casumo | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| betPARX | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.88%E -1.67%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| TABtouch | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.83%E +0.159%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.83%E +0.159%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Betsson | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.02%E -0.669%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Bet Victor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Betway | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.11%E +1.16%K +1.26%G +0.190% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Coral | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.11%E +1.16%K +1.26%G +0.190% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| 888sport | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Caesars | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| LeoVegas | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Fanatics | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -24.73%E -2.91%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.03%E -6.89%K -351.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Fliff | 10.35I 9.66%NM 8.89%EV -8.35%E -0.807%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.11%EV -7.94%E -7.86%K -794.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-23 22:13 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| ProphetX | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.76% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Novig | 15.87I 6.30%NM 5.93% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.07% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:12 |