La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Marin Cilic v Alexander Zverev
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Marin Cilic (Local)
Predicción 8.85%11.29momio equitativo
EV +15.11%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.190%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.34%9.65%8.68%18.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.259.4010.0013.0019.05%10.64%10.00%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alexander Zverev (Visitante)
Predicción 91.15%1.10momio equitativo
EV +6.64%
Ventaja +5.67%
Kelly +39.06%
Crecimiento +2.59%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.78%90.35%91.32%92.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.011.061.051.1799.01%94.06%95.24%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -53.51%E -10.19%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV +6.64%E +5.67%K +39.06%G +2.59% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 22:00 |
| 1xBet | 6.02I 16.61%NM 16.16%EV -46.69%E -7.76%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.84%EV +5.73%E +4.94%K +35.80%G +2.05% | 2.8% | 2026-03-23 21:50 |
| GTbets | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.11%EV -50.24%E -8.94%K -10.87%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.89%EV +5.73%E +4.94%K +35.80%G +2.05% | 4.0% | 2026-03-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -49.08%E -8.54%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +3.91%E +3.43%K +27.90%G +1.09% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 21:50 |
| PlayUp | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -51.30%E -9.33%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +3.91%E +3.43%K +27.90%G +1.09% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -51.30%E -9.33%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +3.91%E +3.43%K +27.90%G +1.09% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 21:09 |
| SportsBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -46.43%E -7.67%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV +2.99%E +2.65%K +23.03%G +0.689% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -41.47%E -6.27%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV +2.08%E +1.86%K +17.35%G +0.361% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -41.47%E -6.27%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV +2.08%E +1.86%K +17.35%G +0.361% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -49.53%E -8.69%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV +2.08%E +1.86%K +17.35%G +0.361% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 21:59 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -42.44%E -6.53%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -0.652%E -0.598%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 22:04 |
| DraftKings | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.88%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| BoyleSports | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.39%E -3.19%K -56.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-23 22:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| FanDuel | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Bovada | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Unibet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Casumo | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| betPARX | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| NordicBet | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -15.88%E -1.67%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Grosvenor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| TABtouch | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| BetRivers | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.30%E -4.09%K -85.95%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.83%E +0.159%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +1.83%E +0.159%K +0.174%G +0.003% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| theScore Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Betsson | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -7.02%E -0.669%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Bet Victor | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.21%E -5.01%K -130.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Betway | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.11%E +1.16%K +1.26%G +0.190% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Coral | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +15.11%E +1.16%K +1.26%G +0.190% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| 888sport | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Caesars | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -2.60%E -0.236%K -0.260%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.45%E -1.15%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| LeoVegas | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Fanatics | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -20.31%E -2.26%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -24.73%E -2.91%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.19%EV -6.12%E -5.94%K -204.02%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +6.26%E +0.522%K +0.569%G +0.036% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.03%E -6.89%K -351.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-23 22:14 |
| Fliff | 10.35I 9.66%NM 8.89%EV -8.35%E -0.807%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.11%EV -7.94%E -7.86%K -794.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-23 22:13 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.51% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.49% | 0.7% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| ProphetX | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.76% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.24% | 2.0% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Smarkets | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 22:15 |
| Novig | 15.87I 6.30%NM 5.93% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 94.07% | 6.3% | 2026-03-23 22:12 |