Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka v Taylor Fritz

Início: 2026-03-24 16:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Previsão 35.76%2.80odd justa
EV -0.956%
Vantagem -0.345%
Kelly -0.540%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.37%35.82%35.51%38.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.612.602.7741.67%38.36%38.46%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Taylor Fritz (Visitante)

Previsão 64.24%1.56odd justa
EV -1.71%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -3.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.54%64.18%64.49%65.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.14%66.67%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jiri Lehecka (Local): 35.76%; Taylor Fritz (Visitante): 64.24%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.77, com valor esperado de -0.956%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.956%E -0.345%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 15:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 13:49
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 06:53
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.74%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.10%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 15:54
NordicBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 13:49
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 13:49
ReBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 15:04
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.53%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 15:39
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 15:19
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 14:39
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:13
Caesars🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 14:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 13:49
GTbets🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.60%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 00:14
LowVig.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-24 15:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-24 15:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 15:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:30
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:33
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 06:09
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 06:09
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 15:15
Fliff🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 15:34
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 15:44
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 15:45
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:29
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Bally Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 15:55
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 15:09
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:55
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:45
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-24 15:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-03-24 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-03-24 15:55
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-03-24 15:53