La escuela de los momios

Jiri Lehecka v Taylor Fritz

Inicio: 2026-03-24 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Predicción 35.76%2.80momio equitativo
EV -0.956%
Ventaja -0.345%
Kelly -0.540%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%35.82%35.51%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.612.602.7741.67%38.36%38.46%36.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Taylor Fritz (Visitante)

Predicción 64.24%1.56momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -3.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.54%64.18%64.49%65.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.14%66.67%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.956%E -0.345%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 15:49
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 13:49
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 13:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 06:53
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.74%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 15:55
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.10%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 15:54
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 13:49
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 13:49
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 15:04
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 15:00
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.53%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 15:39
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 15:19
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 14:39
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 15:50
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:13
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 14:34
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 13:49
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.60%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 00:14
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-24 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-24 15:09
PMU (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 15:55
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:30
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:33
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:34
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 06:09
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 06:09
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 15:15
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 15:34
DraftKings2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 15:14
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 15:44
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 15:44
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 15:45
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 15:55
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 15:09
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:55
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:09
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:45
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-24 15:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-03-24 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-03-24 15:55
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-03-24 15:53