L’École des cotes

Jiri Lehecka v Taylor Fritz

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-24 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jiri Lehecka (Local)

Prévision 35.76%2.80cote équitable
EV -0.956%
Avantage -0.345%
Kelly -0.540%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%35.82%35.51%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.612.602.7741.67%38.36%38.46%36.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Taylor Fritz (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.24%1.56cote équitable
EV -1.71%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -3.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%64.18%64.49%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.491.501.5369.44%67.14%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -0.956%E -0.345%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 15:49
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 13:49
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-24 13:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.67%E -0.608%K -0.955%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-24 06:53
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -2.74%E -1.01%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 15:55
SportsBet2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.10%E -1.14%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 15:54
NordicBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 13:49
Betsson2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 13:49
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 15:04
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.46%E -1.28%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-24 15:00
Marathon Bet2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -4.53%E -1.70%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.56%E -3.78%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-24 15:39
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 15:19
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 14:39
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-24 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.20%E -4.25%K -13.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-24 15:50
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:13
Caesars2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 14:34
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.25%E -1.98%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-24 13:49
GTbets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.08%EV -5.60%E -2.12%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.92%EV -4.28%E -2.87%K -8.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 00:14
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-24 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-24 15:09
PMU (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.32%E -2.41%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.49%E -5.20%K -17.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-24 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-24 15:55
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:30
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:33
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:35
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:34
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-24 15:34
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 06:09
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-24 06:09
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 15:15
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.03%E -2.71%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.85%E -4.72%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-24 15:34
DraftKings2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.31%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-24 15:14
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -1.71%E -1.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-24 15:44
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 15:44
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.35%E -1.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-24 15:45
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:29
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -2.99%E -1.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-24 15:45
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 15:55
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.82%E -3.46%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-24 15:09
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:55
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:09
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.61%E -4.24%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-24 15:45
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -14.19%E -5.91%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -3.63%E -2.42%K -7.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-24 15:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-03-24 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
ProphetX2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-03-24 15:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%1.9%2026-03-24 15:55
Novig2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-03-24 15:53