Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Terence Atmane
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 74.01%1.35fair odd
EV -3.78%
Edge -2.91%
Kelly -12.61%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%74.01%73.89%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.09%78.13%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Terence Atmane (Visit)
Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV +4.73%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.99%26.11%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.693.704.0330.77%27.12%27.03%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 74.01%; Terence Atmane (Visit): 25.99%. For Terence Atmane (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +4.73%E +1.17%K +1.56%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +4.73%E +1.17%K +1.56%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.95%E +0.987%K +1.32%G +0.052% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.35%E +0.346%K +0.466%G +0.006% | 3.8% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.051%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -2.81%E -0.751%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-22 13:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -5.41%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 05:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-23 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 06:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 06:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 07:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 07:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-23 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 15:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-23 15:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-23 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 05:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-23 08:22 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-23 05:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-03-23 15:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29% | 1.0% | 2026-03-23 15:34 |
| Novig◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.42% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.58% | 1.2% | 2026-03-23 16:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66% | 2.6% | 2026-03-23 15:19 |