La scuola delle quote

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Terence Atmane

Inizio: 2026-03-23 16:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)

Previsione 74.01%1.35quota equa
EV -3.78%
Vantaggio -2.91%
Kelly -12.61%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
71.59%74.01%73.89%76.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.281.281.3080.00%78.09%78.13%76.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Terence Atmane (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.99%3.85quota equa
EV +4.73%
Vantaggio +1.17%
Kelly +1.56%
Crescita +0.074%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.81%25.99%26.11%28.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.693.704.0330.77%27.12%27.03%24.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.94%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +4.73%E +1.17%K +1.56%G +0.074%4.2%2026-03-23 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.94%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +4.73%E +1.17%K +1.56%G +0.074%4.2%2026-03-23 15:35
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.95%E +0.987%K +1.32%G +0.052%5.0%2026-03-23 16:09
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +1.35%E +0.346%K +0.466%G +0.006%3.8%2026-03-23 15:00
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.76%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%EV +0.051%E +0.013%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-23 16:09
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:10
LiveScore Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:10
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-23 16:09
Unibet (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -1.25%E -0.328%K -0.446%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-23 14:59
DraftKings1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 14:59
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 15:00
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-23 16:09
Winamax (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 14:59
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-23 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.55%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 14:59
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -2.81%E -0.751%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 16:10
Unibet (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-23 14:59
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-23 14:59
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.85%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 13:24
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 15:00
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 14:59
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 15:00
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-23 15:35
Betr (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.00%E -4.73%K -22.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-23 14:59
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-23 16:09
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-23 16:09
SportsBet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV -5.41%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-23 14:59
FanDuel1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 05:04
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-23 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-23 14:59
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-23 14:59
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-23 15:20
Parions Sport (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 16:09
theScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.75%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-23 14:59
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 06:24
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 06:24
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 07:19
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 07:19
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.78%E -2.91%K -12.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-23 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 15:19
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.26%E -4.11%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-23 15:20
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.48%E -5.99%K -29.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.04%E -2.58%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-23 15:00
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 05:05
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.64%E -3.42%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-23 08:22
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.52%E -3.51%K -15.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.54%E -4.78%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-23 05:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-23 15:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-23 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-23 15:35
Matchbook1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-03-23 15:34
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.71%4.25I 23.53%NM 23.29%1.0%2026-03-23 15:34
Novig1.31I 76.34%NM 75.42%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.58%1.2%2026-03-23 16:06
Smarkets1.26I 79.37%NM 77.34%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%2.6%2026-03-23 15:19