A Escola das Odds

Denis Shapovalov v Botic van de Zandschulp

Início: 2026-03-19 17:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Local)

Previsão 62.78%1.59odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.910%
Kelly -2.51%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
61.22%62.83%62.75%64.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.511.501.5769.44%66.30%66.67%63.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Previsão 37.22%2.69odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.520%
Kelly -0.835%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.37%37.17%37.25%38.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.562.562.6541.67%39.10%38.99%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.43%E -0.910%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.84%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.84%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:40
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.31%E -2.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:38
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -7.33%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:39
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.73%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:39
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:39
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -1.75%E -0.663%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 17:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.50%E -0.952%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.45%E -4.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.12%E -0.807%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.38%E -0.520%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.50%E -0.952%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:40
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05%0.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-19 17:40