L’École des cotes

Denis Shapovalov v Botic van de Zandschulp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-19 17:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Local)

Prévision 62.78%1.59cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -2.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.22%62.83%62.75%64.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.511.501.5769.44%66.30%66.67%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.22%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.520%
Kelly -0.835%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.37%37.17%37.25%38.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.562.6541.67%39.10%38.99%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.43%E -0.910%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.84%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.84%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:40
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.31%E -2.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:38
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -7.33%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:39
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.73%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:39
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:39
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -1.75%E -0.663%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 17:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.50%E -0.952%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.45%E -4.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.12%E -0.807%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.38%E -0.520%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.50%E -0.952%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:40
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05%0.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-19 17:40