La escuela de los momios

Denis Shapovalov v Botic van de Zandschulp

Inicio: 2026-03-19 17:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Denis Shapovalov (Local)

Predicción 62.78%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.910%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.22%62.83%62.75%64.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.501.5769.44%66.30%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Botic van de Zandschulp (Visitante)

Predicción 37.22%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.38%
Ventaja -0.520%
Kelly -0.835%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.37%37.17%37.25%38.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.562.6541.67%39.10%38.99%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -1.43%E -0.910%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -4.36%E -1.69%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-19 17:39
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.84%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -2.06%E -1.32%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV -5.84%E -2.31%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:40
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.31%E -2.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 17:38
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -3.94%E -2.58%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -7.33%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:39
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -4.73%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:39
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 17:39
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -4.57%E -3.01%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.20%E -3.44%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:39
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -1.75%E -0.663%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 17:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.50%E -0.952%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.24%E -1.25%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Parions Sport (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 17:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.82%E -3.88%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.68%E -4.45%K -7.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 17:39
SportsBet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.45%E -4.33%K -13.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -2.12%E -0.807%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.10%E -2.00%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.08%E -4.78%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.96%E -2.78%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.96%E -6.18%K -19.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -1.38%E -0.520%K -0.835%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-19 17:39
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.59%E -6.66%K -21.80%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.50%E -0.952%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%0.3%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:40
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 63.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 36.05%0.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-03-19 17:40