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Arthur Fery v Bu Yunchaokete
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Arthur Fery (Local)
Prediction 44.73%2.24fair odd
EV -1.60%
Edge -0.727%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%45.01%44.85%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.082.052.2051.28%48.17%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bu Yunchaokete (Visit)
Prediction 55.27%1.81fair odd
EV +0.042%
Edge +0.023%
Kelly +0.052%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.99%55.15%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.701.8161.35%58.40%58.82%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Arthur Fery (Local): 44.73%; Bu Yunchaokete (Visit): 55.27%. For Bu Yunchaokete (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.809. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.810, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.042%.
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -8.75%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -8.75%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.510%E -0.284%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.78%E -6.55%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 15:06 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-17 14:56 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-17 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 15:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 15:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-17 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.91%E -6.08%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-17 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Novig◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 1.2% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76% | 1.5% | 2026-03-17 15:10 |