La scuola delle quote

Arthur Fery v Bu Yunchaokete

Inizio: 2026-03-17 16:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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27 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Arthur Fery (Casa)

Previsione 44.73%2.24quota equa
EV -1.60%
Vantaggio -0.727%
Kelly -1.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.42%45.01%44.85%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.082.052.2051.28%48.17%48.78%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bu Yunchaokete (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.27%1.81quota equa
EV +0.042%
Vantaggio +0.023%
Kelly +0.052%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.81

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%54.99%55.15%56.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.631.711.701.8161.35%58.40%58.82%55.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -8.75%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 15:10
BetOnline.ag2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -8.75%E -4.29%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV +0.042%E +0.023%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 15:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.510%E -0.284%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-17 15:10
FanDuel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -9.65%E -4.78%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 15:10
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -1.62%E -0.908%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 15:10
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -12.78%E -6.55%K -13.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -3.27%E -1.87%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 15:10
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.28%E -2.00%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.83%E -2.20%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 15:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 15:05
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 15:05
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.38%E -2.53%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 15:10
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.48%E -3.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 14:59
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-17 15:10
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -2.49%E -1.14%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-17 15:10
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 15:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.31%E -4.05%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 15:06
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.04%E -3.55%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 14:56
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -1.60%E -0.727%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-17 14:59
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.59%E -3.90%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -7.14%E -4.25%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 15:00
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -7.70%E -4.61%K -11.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-17 15:05
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.83%E -1.78%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 15:10
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 15:09
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.07%E -2.89%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 15:09
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -6.97%E -3.35%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -8.80%E -5.33%K -13.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-17 14:59
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.54%E -5.27%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.10%EV -9.91%E -6.08%K -15.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-17 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-03-17 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%0.3%2026-03-17 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-03-17 15:10
Novig2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-03-17 15:10
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-03-17 15:10