La scuola delle quote

Alexander Bublik v Matteo Berrettini

Inizio: 2026-03-20 22:20 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexander Bublik (Casa)

Previsione 60.13%1.66quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -1.22%
Kelly -3.16%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.89%60.05%60.10%62.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.581.571.6365.36%63.35%63.69%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Matteo Berrettini (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.87%2.51quota equa
EV +0.481%
Vantaggio +0.191%
Kelly +0.316%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.52

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.93%39.95%39.90%42.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.382.402.5245.45%42.03%41.67%39.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.481%E +0.191%K +0.316%G +0.002%4.6%2026-03-20 22:15
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.082%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.082%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 21:54
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.91%E -0.777%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.31%E -0.943%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 21:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.31%E -0.943%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:14
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:55
Unibet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 22:12
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.99%E -1.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 21:55
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:54
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:54
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:48
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:55
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
theScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 21:55
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:54
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:14
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:14
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:55
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:55
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:55
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 21:50
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:14
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:15
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:54
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:14
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.70%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:55
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:55
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:49
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:49
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:49
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:54
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 21:55
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 22:14
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:55
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-20 22:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-03-20 21:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-03-20 22:15