StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Bublik v Matteo Berrettini

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-20 22:20 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

52 Wettanbieter (16 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Alexander Bublik (Heim)

Prognose 60.13%1.66faire Quote
EV -1.99%
Vorteil -1.22%
Kelly -3.16%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
57.89%60.05%60.10%62.07%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.531.581.571.6365.36%63.35%63.69%61.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Matteo Berrettini (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.87%2.51faire Quote
EV +0.481%
Vorteil +0.191%
Kelly +0.316%
Wachstum +0.002%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.52

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
37.93%39.95%39.90%42.11%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.382.402.5245.45%42.03%41.67%39.68%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Alexander Bublik (Heim): 60.13%; Matteo Berrettini (Auswärts): 39.87%. Für Matteo Berrettini (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.51. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.52 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.481%.

Wettanbieterquoten (52 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.481%E +0.191%K +0.316%G +0.002%4.6%2026-03-20 22:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.082%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 21:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.082%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 21:54
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.91%E -0.777%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.31%E -0.943%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-20 21:55
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.31%E -0.943%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-20 22:14
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-20 21:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 22:12
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.99%E -1.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-20 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:54
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 21:48
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:55
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 21:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 21:54
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-20 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-20 22:14
Betsson🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:55
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:14
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-20 22:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-20 22:14
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.70%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-20 21:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-20 21:49
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-20 21:54
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-20 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-20 22:14
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 21:54
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-03-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-03-20 22:15
Novig1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-03-20 22:05
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.1%2026-03-20 21:55
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69%2.6%2026-03-20 22:15