La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexander Bublik v Matteo Berrettini
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexander Bublik (Local)
Predicción 60.13%1.66momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.89%60.05%60.10%62.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.581.571.6365.36%63.35%63.69%61.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Matteo Berrettini (Visitante)
Predicción 39.87%2.51momio equitativo
EV +0.481%
Ventaja +0.191%
Kelly +0.316%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.93%39.95%39.90%42.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.402.5245.45%42.03%41.67%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -7.40%E -4.81%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +0.481%E +0.191%K +0.316%G +0.002% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.082%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV +0.082%E +0.033%K +0.054%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -1.91%E -0.777%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.31%E -0.943%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.31%E -0.943%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-20 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -2.71%E -1.11%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.51%E -1.45%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 22:12 |
| Pinnacle | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.99%E -1.22%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.91%E -1.62%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-20 21:48 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| Casumo | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 22:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.30%E -1.79%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-20 22:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.70%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-20 22:14 |
| Betsson | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.01%E -5.23%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.10%E -2.14%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-20 21:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 22:14 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-20 22:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.20%E -3.98%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.30%E -2.68%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-20 22:14 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -6.70%E -2.86%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.59%E -1.60%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.20%E -1.99%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-20 21:49 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.40%E -2.77%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.00%E -3.16%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.60%E -3.57%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-20 22:14 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.80%E -4.39%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.29%E -3.60%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.80%E -2.37%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -12.28%E -5.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-20 21:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-03-20 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 22:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 22:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-03-20 22:15 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-03-20 22:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94% | 1.1% | 2026-03-20 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.31% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.69% | 2.6% | 2026-03-20 22:15 |