Language:English
Alejandro Tabilo v Francisco Comesana
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Prediction 66.83%1.50fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -5.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%66.83%66.90%68.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.421.421.4672.46%70.56%70.42%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Francisco Comesana (Visit)
Prediction 33.17%3.01fair odd
EV -0.492%
Edge -0.164%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%33.17%33.10%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.883.0036.36%34.94%34.72%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 66.83%; Francisco Comesana (Visit): 33.17%. For Francisco Comesana (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.492%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.43%E -1.66%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -8.12%E -2.93%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.492%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-19 21:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.13%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.15%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.15%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 22:03 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.16%E -0.388%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.15%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.16%E -0.388%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 22:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 22:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -7.11%E -5.11%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-19 22:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.77%E -5.63%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-19 22:04 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.74% | 1.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 2.1% | 2026-03-19 22:05 |