Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo v Francisco Comesana

Início: 2026-03-19 22:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Previsão 66.83%1.50odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -5.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.48%66.83%66.90%68.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.381.421.421.4672.46%70.56%70.42%68.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Francisco Comesana (Visitante)

Previsão 33.17%3.01odd justa
EV -0.492%
Vantagem -0.164%
Kelly -0.246%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.96%33.17%33.10%34.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.862.883.0036.36%34.94%34.72%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 66.83%; Francisco Comesana (Visitante): 33.17%. Para Francisco Comesana (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.00, com valor esperado de -0.492%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -2.43%E -1.66%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -8.12%E -2.93%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 22:05
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -0.492%E -0.164%K -0.246%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-19 21:59
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:04
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.13%E -2.17%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 22:04
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.76%E -2.61%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-19 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.15%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.15%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-19 22:04
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:04
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-19 22:05
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 22:04
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -5.47%E -1.92%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 22:03
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.43%E -3.10%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-19 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-19 22:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:05
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:05
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:05
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:04
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:04
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:05
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:05
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:05
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 22:05
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-19 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.10%E -3.59%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 22:04
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.16%E -0.388%K -0.583%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-19 22:04
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.44%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.56%EV -3.15%E -1.08%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-19 22:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 22:04
Fliff🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -5.77%E -4.09%K -14.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.16%E -0.388%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 22:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 22:04
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 22:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-19 22:04
TAB🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:03
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 22:00
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 22:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.44%E -4.60%K -16.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.78%E -3.19%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 22:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.83%EV -7.11%E -5.11%K -18.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.13%E -2.54%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 22:03
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.77%E -5.63%K -20.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -3.81%E -1.31%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 22:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-19 22:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-19 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-19 22:04
Matchbook1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-03-19 22:05
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-19 22:04
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.74%1.1%2026-03-19 22:05
Smarkets1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%2.1%2026-03-19 22:05