Language:English
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Quentin Halys
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Prediction 69.76%1.43fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -5.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%69.71%69.69%71.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.351.351.4075.76%74.05%74.07%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Quentin Halys (Visit)
Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd
EV -0.195%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.085%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.29%30.31%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.173.203.3034.48%31.51%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local): 69.76%; Quentin Halys (Visit): 30.24%. For Quentin Halys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.195%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -2.34%E -1.67%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -8.36%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -2.34%E -1.67%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -8.36%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.34%E -1.67%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.29%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.71%E -0.525%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.27%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.29%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.43%E -3.24%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.73%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.43%E -3.24%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.76%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.71%E -0.525%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -2.01%E -0.620%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 15:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.73%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.29%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.29%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.71%E -0.525%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -4.13%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.73%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.27%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.27%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-21 14:58 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.27%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03% | 0.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.7% | 2026-03-21 15:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.00% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 31.00% | 2.1% | 2026-03-21 15:05 |