La scuola delle quote

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Quentin Halys

Inizio: 2026-03-21 15:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Casa)

Previsione 69.76%1.43quota equa
EV -2.34%
Vantaggio -1.67%
Kelly -5.85%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%69.71%69.69%71.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.351.351.4075.76%74.05%74.07%71.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quentin Halys (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.24%3.31quota equa
EV -0.195%
Vantaggio -0.059%
Kelly -0.085%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.73%30.29%30.31%32.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.173.203.3034.48%31.51%31.25%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -2.34%E -1.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -8.36%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 15:00
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV -2.34%E -1.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -8.36%E -2.76%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 15:00
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.34%E -1.67%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.29%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.71%E -0.525%K -0.759%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 14:59
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.27%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:00
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.74%E -2.71%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -12.29%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 14:58
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.43%E -3.24%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.73%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.43%E -3.24%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.76%E -2.54%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:59
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -1.71%E -0.525%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:00
GTbets1.36I 73.53%NM 70.43%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.57%EV -2.01%E -0.620%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 15:03
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:59
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:58
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -3.52%E -1.10%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
Winamax (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.73%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:04
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:59
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:04
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:59
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.29%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 15:04
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.13%E -3.77%K -14.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -12.29%E -4.24%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:59
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.71%E -0.525%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 14:59
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:04
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -3.82%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:58
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.87%EV -4.13%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 15:05
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.73%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 15:00
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 15:00
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.27%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.83%E -4.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.27%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:00
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 15:00
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.53%E -4.87%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-21 14:59
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:59
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:59
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:59
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:59
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -0.195%E -0.059%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-21 14:59
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-21 14:58
Fliff1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -4.73%E -1.50%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-21 15:00
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.24%E -2.01%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:59
Fanatics1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.22%E -5.43%K -21.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -9.27%E -3.09%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 15:00
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -7.92%E -6.00%K -24.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.22%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 15:05
Matchbook1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-03-21 15:00
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.7%2026-03-21 15:00
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 69.00%3.16I 31.65%NM 31.00%2.1%2026-03-21 15:05