Language:English
Zizou Bergs v Marin Cilic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zizou Bergs (Local)
Prediction 51.60%1.94fair odd
EV -0.406%
Edge -0.211%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%51.56%51.59%54.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.851.851.9357.14%54.08%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Marin Cilic (Visit)
Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV +1.63%
Edge +0.778%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.024%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.88%48.44%48.41%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.941.932.1052.91%51.54%51.81%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 51.60%; Marin Cilic (Visit): 48.40%. For Marin Cilic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.63%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -8.15%E -4.58%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +1.63%E +0.778%K +1.49%G +0.024% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 08:53 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.02%E -2.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.05%E -2.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.05%E -2.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -0.922%E -0.480%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.11%E -3.15%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 08:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.11%E -3.15%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.11%E -3.15%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 06:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 16:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-20 18:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-21 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.02%E -2.16%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.05%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -0.406%E -0.211%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -8.53%E -4.51%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 08:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.922%E -0.480%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.53%E -4.51%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.53%E -4.51%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50% | 0.0% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.8% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |