StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zizou Bergs v Marin Cilic

Matchstart: 2026-04-22 09:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

54 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zizou Bergs (Hemma)

Prognos 51.60%1.94rättvist odds
EV -0.406%
Fördel -0.211%
Kelly -0.437%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.93

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.48%51.56%51.59%54.12%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.751.851.851.9357.14%54.08%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Marin Cilic (Borta)

Prognos 48.40%2.07rättvist odds
EV +1.63%
Fördel +0.778%
Kelly +1.49%
Tillväxt +0.024%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
45.88%48.44%48.41%50.52%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.891.941.932.1052.91%51.54%51.81%47.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Zizou Bergs (Hemma): 51.60%; Marin Cilic (Borta): 48.40%. För Marin Cilic (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.07. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +1.63%.

Spelbolagsodds (54 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -8.15%E -4.58%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV +1.63%E +0.778%K +1.49%G +0.024%3.8%2026-04-22 08:53
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.47%E -1.31%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 08:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.02%E -2.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-22 08:29
SportsBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -5.05%E -2.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.21%E -1.60%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 08:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.05%E -2.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 08:30
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:54
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.17%E -2.11%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV -0.922%E -0.480%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.14%E -2.62%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 08:55
Bet Right🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:54
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:40
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:30
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 08:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.69%E -5.54%K -12.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.63%E -2.88%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 08:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.11%E -3.15%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 08:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.99%E -1.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.11%E -3.15%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 08:44
Unibet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.02%E -2.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.11%E -3.15%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:55
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:30
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:54
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:54
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:55
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:55
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:54
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.53%E -2.45%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.59%E -3.42%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 08:55
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 06:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 16:35
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 18:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 11:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.44%E -0.753%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-21 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.02%E -2.16%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 08:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:54
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.57%E -3.04%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 08:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:29
Fliff🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.56%E -3.96%K -8.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:55
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.11%E -3.95%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.05%E -4.23%K -8.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 08:29
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -0.406%E -0.211%K -0.437%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -8.53%E -4.51%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 08:29
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.922%E -0.480%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.53%E -4.51%K -9.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.08%E -3.34%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -8.53%E -4.51%K -9.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 08:55
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.50%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.50%0.0%2026-04-22 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-04-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-04-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-04-22 08:55
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.8%2026-04-22 08:55
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-22 08:55