A Escola das Odds

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Tommy Paul

Início: 2026-04-24 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Previsão 34.53%2.90odd justa
EV +0.132%
Vantagem +0.046%
Kelly +0.070%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.24%34.40%34.52%35.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.602.782.772.9038.46%36.02%36.10%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tommy Paul (Visitante)

Previsão 65.47%1.53odd justa
EV -2.45%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -4.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.04%65.60%65.48%67.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.56%69.44%67.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 19:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 19:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:30
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.65%E -6.99%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:44
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:35
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:35
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:35
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.94%E -0.683%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:10
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.94%E -0.683%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:30
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.63%E -0.933%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:29
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.10%E -2.10%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 02:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:29
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:35
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.67%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.45%E -1.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.36%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.45%E -1.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 00:35
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.36%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.45%E -1.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 00:30
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:25
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 02:10
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 02:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:10
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:24
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:03
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.68%E -5.45%K -18.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.68%E -5.45%K -18.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:34
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:09
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:10
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:45
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:09
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:10
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:03
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.46%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -2.45%E -1.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:35
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 01:10
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.23%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:19
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.23%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.23%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig2.79I 35.84%NM 35.42%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.58%1.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-04-24 03:10