L’École des cotes

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Tommy Paul

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Prévision 34.53%2.90cote équitable
EV +0.132%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.070%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.24%34.40%34.52%35.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.782.772.9038.46%36.02%36.10%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tommy Paul (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.47%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -4.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.04%65.60%65.48%67.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.4972.46%69.56%69.44%67.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:20
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 19:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 19:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:30
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV +0.132%E +0.046%K +0.070%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.65%E -6.99%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:10
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-24 03:44
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:35
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:35
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:34
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.59%E -0.559%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 21:35
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 34.11%EV -1.94%E -0.683%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.89%EV -3.76%E -2.56%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 01:10
FanDuel2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -1.94%E -0.683%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 00:30
SportsBet2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -2.63%E -0.933%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:29
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.10%E -2.10%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 02:09
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:10
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 00:29
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.32%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 21:35
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.81%EV -3.67%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.19%EV -2.45%E -1.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:40
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.36%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.45%E -1.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 00:35
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -4.36%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -2.45%E -1.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 00:30
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 00:25
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 02:10
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-24 02:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 00:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:10
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:10
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 00:24
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:40
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.03%E -4.95%K -16.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:03
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.68%E -5.45%K -18.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:35
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.68%E -5.45%K -18.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 21:34
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.05%E -1.84%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 03:09
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-24 02:10
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 02:10
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:45
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:30
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.07%E -3.49%K -11.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 01:09
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.38%E -4.46%K -14.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 01:10
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 01:15
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.77%E -2.51%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.34%E -5.96%K -20.85%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-24 03:03
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -7.46%E -2.79%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -2.45%E -1.64%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:35
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.50%E -3.21%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:10
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 01:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.54%E -3.64%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 01:10
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.23%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.41%E -3.02%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:19
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.23%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.23%E -3.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.72%E -3.97%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 01:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.79I 35.84%NM 35.42%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.58%1.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-04-24 03:10
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.26%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.74%2.8%2026-04-24 03:10