La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Learner Tien v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Learner Tien (Casa)
Previsione 47.18%2.12quota equa
EV +3.80%
Vantaggio +1.73%
Kelly +3.17%
Crescita +0.121%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.01%47.19%47.37%58.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.982.002.2061.73%50.46%50.00%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Trasferta)
Previsione 52.82%1.89quota equa
EV +21.48%
Vantaggio +9.34%
Kelly +16.52%
Crescita +3.55%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.33%52.81%52.63%56.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.661.801.802.3060.24%55.45%55.56%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (33 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -23.56%E -14.54%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +21.48%E +9.34%K +16.52%G +3.55% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -12.71%E -6.87%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV +4.05%E +2.05%K +4.17%G +0.169% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -12.71%E -6.87%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV +4.05%E +2.05%K +4.17%G +0.169% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.82%E -1.53%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.87%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| GTbets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.74%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.10%E -3.07%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.99%E -3.36%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.99%E -3.36%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.99%E -3.36%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.99%E -3.36%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -0.914%E -0.435%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.04%E -4.00%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.33%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -2.33%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.68%E -5.66%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.21%E -6.01%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +3.80%E +1.73%K +3.17%G +0.121% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -12.33%E -7.42%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 0.7% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79% | 10.6% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |