L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Learner Tien v Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Learner Tien (Local)
Prévision 47.18%2.12cote équitable
EV +3.80%
Avantage +1.73%
Kelly +3.17%
Croissance +0.121%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.01%47.19%47.37%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.982.002.2061.73%50.46%50.00%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Visiteur)
Prévision 52.82%1.89cote équitable
EV +21.48%
Avantage +9.34%
Kelly +16.52%
Croissance +3.55%
avec la cote maximale 2.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%52.81%52.63%56.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.801.802.3060.24%55.45%55.56%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -23.56%E -14.54%K -38.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +21.48%E +9.34%K +16.52%G +3.55% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -12.71%E -6.87%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV +4.05%E +2.05%K +4.17%G +0.169% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:24 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -12.71%E -6.87%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV +4.05%E +2.05%K +4.17%G +0.169% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.82%E -1.53%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.86%E -0.893%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -3.87%E -2.13%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.69%E -2.32%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 00:49 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.58%E -3.32%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.35%E -5.45%K -11.50%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.93%E -2.74%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| GTbets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.74%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.10%E -3.07%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.46%E -3.05%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.99%E -3.36%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -7.05%E -3.58%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -5.99%E -3.36%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.99%E -3.36%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -5.99%E -3.36%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.52%E -3.68%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 19:39 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -0.914%E -0.435%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -7.04%E -4.00%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.99%E -4.10%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.57%E -4.33%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-24 02:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.24%EV -2.33%E -1.13%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -9.68%E -5.66%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.63%E -2.82%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -10.21%E -6.01%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-24 01:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV +3.80%E +1.73%K +3.17%G +0.121% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -12.33%E -7.42%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47% | 0.7% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79% | 10.6% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |