Language:English
Karen Khachanov v Adam Walton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karen Khachanov (Local)
Prediction 76.33%1.31fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -8.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.77%76.12%76.34%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.83%80.65%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Adam Walton (Visit)
Prediction 23.67%4.23fair odd
EV +0.592%
Edge +0.139%
Kelly +0.182%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%23.88%23.66%26.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.923.984.2528.99%25.51%25.13%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karen Khachanov (Local): 76.33%; Adam Walton (Visit): 23.67%. For Adam Walton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.592%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.592%E +0.139%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.592%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -1.30%E -0.312%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -8.40%E -7.00%K -42.01%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -1.78%E -0.428%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.96%E -0.722%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 02:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:03 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.40%E -7.00%K -42.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.86%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.14%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.11%E -4.97%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 02:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.30%E -1.79%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 23:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.64%E -6.31%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -17.16%E -4.90%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.64%E -6.31%K -36.38%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.34%E -5.32%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-24 02:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.91% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09% | 12.7% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 69.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 30.05% | 30.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 69.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 30.05% | 30.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 69.95% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 30.05% | 30.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |