La scuola delle quote

Karen Khachanov v Adam Walton

Inizio: 2026-04-25 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Karen Khachanov (Casa)

Previsione 76.33%1.31quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -1.79%
Kelly -8.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.77%76.12%76.34%77.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.201.241.241.2883.33%80.83%80.65%78.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adam Walton (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.67%4.23quota equa
EV +0.592%
Vantaggio +0.139%
Kelly +0.182%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.30%23.88%23.66%26.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.453.923.984.2528.99%25.51%25.13%23.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +0.592%E +0.139%K +0.182%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-24 03:10
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08%EV -0.592%E -0.141%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:10
1xBet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.80%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.20%EV -1.30%E -0.312%K -0.411%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-24 03:10
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.57%EV -8.40%E -7.00%K -42.01%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.43%EV -1.78%E -0.428%K -0.564%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-24 03:05
FanDuel1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.96%E -0.722%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-24 03:05
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:40
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:20
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:30
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:30
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 20:39
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-24 02:55
theScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:03
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.40%E -7.00%K -42.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.33%E -1.33%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:05
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.86%EV -3.82%E -3.03%K -14.70%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.14%EV -6.27%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-24 03:10
Winamax (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 03:00
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.51%E -1.65%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:10
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -6.11%E -4.97%K -26.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 23:25
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 02:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.88%E -5.64%K -31.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.69%E -1.97%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 03:00
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:00
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:54
Neds1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.35%E -4.31%K -22.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -10.06%E -2.65%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 02:55
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -2.30%E -1.79%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:44
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -4.59%E -3.67%K -18.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -14.79%E -4.11%K -5.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 23:20
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.31%EV -7.64%E -6.31%K -36.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -17.16%E -4.90%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-24 03:00
Unibet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -7.64%E -6.31%K -36.38%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -18.34%E -5.32%K -7.49%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-24 02:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.20I 83.33%NM 73.91%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%12.7%2026-04-24 03:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 69.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 30.05%30.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 69.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 30.05%30.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 69.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 30.05%30.0%2026-04-24 03:45