Language:English
Jenson Brooksby v Emilio Nava
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jenson Brooksby (Local)
Prediction 35.51%2.82fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +0.666%
Kelly +1.02%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%35.58%35.68%38.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.612.612.8740.82%38.25%38.31%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Emilio Nava (Visit)
Prediction 64.49%1.55fair odd
EV -0.684%
Edge -0.444%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.88%64.42%64.32%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.491.481.5471.43%67.23%67.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jenson Brooksby (Local): 35.51%; Emilio Nava (Visit): 64.49%. For Jenson Brooksby (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.91%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV +1.91%E +0.666%K +1.02%G +0.020% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-22 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -0.929%E -0.333%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.64%E -0.592%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 06:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.64%E -0.592%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 06:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 06:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 06:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 06:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 06:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 07:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 06:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.42%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-22 08:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.42%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 07:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -5.19%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -1.97%E -1.30%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 06:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 06:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 06:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 06:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 07:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 06:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 07:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.97%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.97%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 06:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 06:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 07:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 07:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 06:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.684%E -0.444%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 08:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-21 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.97%E -1.30%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 08:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.94%E -4.81%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.94%E -4.81%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 11:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.00%E -5.31%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 10:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 08:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 0.5% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.87I 34.84%NM 34.47% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 08:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59% | 2.3% | 2026-04-22 08:55 |