L’École des cotes

Jenson Brooksby v Emilio Nava

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jenson Brooksby (Local)

Prévision 35.51%2.82cote équitable
EV +1.91%
Avantage +0.666%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 2.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%35.58%35.68%38.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.612.612.8740.82%38.25%38.31%34.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emilio Nava (Visiteur)

Prévision 64.49%1.55cote équitable
EV -0.684%
Avantage -0.444%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.88%64.42%64.32%66.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.491.481.5471.43%67.23%67.57%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV +1.91%E +0.666%K +1.02%G +0.020%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 08:45
DraftKings2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -0.929%E -0.333%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.80%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 06:29
LowVig.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.64%E -0.592%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 06:30
BetOnline.ag2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -1.64%E -0.592%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -3.91%E -2.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 06:29
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 06:49
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 06:49
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 06:49
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 06:50
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 07:34
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 06:49
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -2.35%E -0.854%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.71%E -6.94%K -24.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 08:39
FanDuel2.72I 36.76%NM 35.24%EV -3.42%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.76%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 08:39
SportsBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -3.42%E -1.26%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:30
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 08:40
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 08:48
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.13%E -1.53%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.13%E -4.95%K -16.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 07:19
GTbets2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -5.19%E -1.94%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -1.97%E -1.30%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-22 06:30
NordicBet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 06:55
Betsson2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 06:54
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 06:55
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 08:54
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 07:19
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 06:55
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 07:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -5.90%E -2.23%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -8.42%E -5.93%K -20.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 07:20
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.97%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 08:50
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -6.97%E -2.66%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 06:04
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 06:40
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 07:09
Fliff2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 08:40
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -5.84%E -4.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 07:09
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.68%E -2.95%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.49%E -4.47%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 06:59
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -9.45%E -3.71%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 08:49
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -0.684%E -0.444%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 08:05
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:00
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
Bally Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:01
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 20:00
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.33%E -0.869%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-21 11:25
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.97%E -1.30%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 08:05
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.23%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.55%E -3.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 21:35
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.94%E -4.81%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 10:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -11.94%E -4.81%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 11:00
PMU (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -13.00%E -5.31%K -8.97%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -3.26%E -2.18%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 10:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-04-22 08:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-04-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-04-22 08:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-04-22 08:55
Novig2.87I 34.84%NM 34.47%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.53%1.1%2026-04-22 08:49
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.3%2026-04-22 08:55