L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Ignacio Buse v Adrian Mannarino
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Prévision 77.26%1.29cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.861%
Kelly -3.94%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.22%77.46%77.28%83.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.221.221.2887.72%82.21%81.97%78.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Adrian Mannarino (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.74%4.40cote équitable
EV +33.92%
Avantage +5.76%
Kelly +6.94%
Croissance +2.35%
avec la cote maximale 5.89
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.69%22.54%22.72%26.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.124.105.8928.57%24.28%24.39%16.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.31%EV -8.83%E -7.48%K -49.05%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.69%EV +33.92%E +5.76%K +6.94%G +2.35% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.92%E -10.46%K -85.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.68%E +2.74%K +3.42%G +0.468% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.83%E -7.48%K -49.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +4.59%E +0.997%K +1.27%G +0.058% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.31%E +0.514%K +0.661%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.10%E -0.252%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -2.01%E -0.465%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.23%E -0.519%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.23%E -0.519%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.37%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.37%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.51%E -5.38%K -31.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -8.06%E -6.77%K -42.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -8.06%E -6.77%K -42.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.97%E -4.04%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.97%E -4.04%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.83%E -7.48%K -49.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.97%E -4.04%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.19%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.97%E -4.04%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.19%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -10.37%E -8.94%K -64.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.33%E -2.90%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -12.46%E -3.24%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.42%E -2.74%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.60%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.60%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.60%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -8.83%E -7.48%K -49.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.60%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.42%E -2.74%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.74%E -3.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 10:53 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.74%E -3.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.65%E -2.10%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.15%E -5.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.10%E -0.861%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.42%E -5.83%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.69% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.31% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |