La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ignacio Buse v Adrian Mannarino
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ignacio Buse (Local)
Predicción 77.26%1.29momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.861%
Kelly -3.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.22%77.46%77.28%83.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.221.221.2887.72%82.21%81.97%78.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adrian Mannarino (Visitante)
Predicción 22.74%4.40momio equitativo
EV +33.92%
Ventaja +5.76%
Kelly +6.94%
Crecimiento +2.35%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.89
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.69%22.54%22.72%26.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.124.105.8928.57%24.28%24.39%16.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.31%EV -8.83%E -7.48%K -49.05%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 16.69%EV +33.92%E +5.76%K +6.94%G +2.35% | 1.7% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -11.92%E -10.46%K -85.14%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +13.68%E +2.74%K +3.42%G +0.468% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -8.83%E -7.48%K -49.05%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +4.59%E +0.997%K +1.27%G +0.058% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +2.31%E +0.514%K +0.661%G +0.015% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +0.040%E +0.009%K +0.012%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -1.10%E -0.252%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.94%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.06%EV -2.01%E -0.465%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -2.23%E -0.519%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -2.23%E -0.519%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:50 |
| Betway | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -3.37%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -3.37%E -0.793%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -6.51%E -5.38%K -31.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.51%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -8.06%E -6.77%K -42.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -8.06%E -6.77%K -42.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -6.78%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.97%E -4.04%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -4.97%E -4.04%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| 888sport | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.83%E -7.48%K -49.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.05%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.97%E -4.04%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.19%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -4.97%E -4.04%K -21.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -10.19%E -2.58%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.08%EV -10.37%E -8.94%K -64.84%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.33%E -2.90%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.24%EV -7.28%E -6.07%K -36.42%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -12.46%E -3.24%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.42%E -2.74%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -13.60%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.19%E -3.38%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -13.60%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -13.60%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.31%EV -8.83%E -7.48%K -49.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -13.60%E -3.58%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.42%E -2.74%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.74%E -3.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 10:53 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.74%E -4.70%K -26.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.74%E -3.93%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -2.65%E -2.10%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -18.15%E -5.04%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -1.10%E -0.861%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -20.42%E -5.83%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 10:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.92% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.08% | 3.2% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |
| Novig | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.69% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.31% | 5.4% | 2026-04-22 10:55 |