La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Hubert Hurkacz v Lorenzo Musetti
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Hubert Hurkacz (Casa)
Previsione 38.85%2.57quota equa
EV +0.225%
Vantaggio +0.087%
Kelly +0.142%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.30%39.01%38.64%41.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.402.382.5843.48%41.72%42.02%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta)
Previsione 61.15%1.64quota equa
EV -0.932%
Vantaggio -0.575%
Kelly -1.50%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.67%60.99%61.36%63.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.561.571.6268.03%63.92%63.69%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV +0.225%E +0.087%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:02 |
| SportsBet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.15%E -1.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Betsson | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.21%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 22:02 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.932%E -0.575%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.932%E -0.575%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.77%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| BetUS | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.932%E -0.575%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.15%E -1.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Novig | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |