L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Hubert Hurkacz v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Hubert Hurkacz (Local)
Prévision 38.85%2.57cote équitable
EV +0.225%
Avantage +0.087%
Kelly +0.142%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.30%39.01%38.64%41.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.402.382.5843.48%41.72%42.02%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 61.15%1.64cote équitable
EV -0.932%
Avantage -0.575%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.67%60.99%61.36%63.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.561.571.6268.03%63.92%63.69%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV +0.225%E +0.087%K +0.142%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -1.72%E -0.679%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 19:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -2.88%E -1.15%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 22:02 |
| SportsBet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -3.66%E -1.48%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.31%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.69%EV -2.15%E -1.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Betsson | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -4.05%E -1.64%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-24 01:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 22:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV -5.21%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -5.21%E -2.14%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 22:02 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.932%E -0.575%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -0.932%E -0.575%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.77%E -1.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 00:59 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 21:03 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Bally Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| Bet Victor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.54%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.44%E -4.21%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 20:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 20:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.71%E -3.71%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| BetUS | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.49%E -4.07%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 20:34 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -0.932%E -0.575%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.54%E -0.959%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.15%E -1.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.38%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:25 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:24 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| Everygame | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.65%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Novig | 2.57I 38.91%NM 38.37% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.63% | 1.4% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |