A Escola das Odds

Elmer Moller v Gabriel Diallo

Início: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elmer Moller (Local)

Previsão 41.73%2.40odd justa
EV -1.94%
Vantagem -0.825%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.03%41.83%41.77%44.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.152.262.292.3546.51%44.25%43.67%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)

Previsão 58.27%1.72odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.900%
Kelly -2.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.99%58.17%58.23%58.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.30%61.73%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.94%E -0.825%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:15
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 23:40
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:45
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:50
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 23:45
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:29
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:45
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:40
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:30
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
NordicBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Betsson2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:48
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:05
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.69%E -2.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:40
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 02:10
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 02:09
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:29
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 23:50
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:10
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:50
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:30
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 16:29
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.78%E -3.52%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 11:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 20:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 22:39
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:39
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:45
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 02:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 22:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-24 03:35