مدرسة الاحتمالات

Elmer Moller v Gabriel Diallo

البداية: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Elmer Moller (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.73%2.40السعر العادل
EV -1.94%
الأفضلية -0.825%
Kelly -1.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.03%41.83%41.77%44.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.262.292.3546.51%44.25%43.67%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Gabriel Diallo (الضيف)

التنبؤ 58.27%1.72السعر العادل
EV -1.52%
الأفضلية -0.900%
Kelly -2.20%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.69

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.99%58.17%58.23%58.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.30%61.73%59.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.94%E -0.825%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:15
Coolbet2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 23:40
FanDuel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 23:45
SportsBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:50
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 23:45
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:50
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Bally Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:30
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 11:29
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:45
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:40
DraftKings2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 09:30
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:10
NordicBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Betsson2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:48
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:05
Bet Right2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.69%E -2.52%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 23:40
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 02:10
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-24 02:09
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 02:50
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:29
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 23:50
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 12:10
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 10:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 23:50
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:30
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 11:30
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 16:29
GTbets2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.78%E -3.52%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 11:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:10
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 19:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 20:20
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 17:20
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-22 22:39
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:39
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 16:29
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-24 03:45
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-24 02:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 22:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-22 22:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 22:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%0.9%2026-04-24 02:15
Novig2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-04-24 03:35