La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elmer Moller v Gabriel Diallo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elmer Moller (Local)
Predicción 41.73%2.40momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.03%41.83%41.77%44.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.262.292.3546.51%44.25%43.67%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gabriel Diallo (Visitante)
Predicción 58.27%1.72momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.900%
Kelly -2.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.99%58.17%58.23%58.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.631.621.6963.69%61.30%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -1.94%E -0.825%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -3.19%E -1.38%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -3.61%E -1.56%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.03%E -1.75%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -2.10%E -1.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 09:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Betsson | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.44%E -1.94%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:48 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.86%E -2.13%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.69%E -2.52%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.02%E -3.08%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 12:10 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 10:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.11%E -2.72%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.51%E -5.42%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| GTbets | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -7.78%E -3.52%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 19:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.69%E -1.61%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-22 20:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 17:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.85%E -2.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.60%E -3.46%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 16:29 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.20%E -3.73%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.77%E -4.23%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| BetUS | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.52%E -0.900%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-24 02:10 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -4.43%E -2.70%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-22 22:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -10.28%E -4.78%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.18%E -3.84%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-22 22:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28% | 0.9% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Novig | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |