Language:English
Cristian Garin v Alexander Blockx
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristian Garin (Local)
Prediction 44.69%2.24fair odd
EV +20.67%
Edge +7.66%
Kelly +12.16%
Growth +2.51%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.62%44.32%44.89%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.162.102.7052.36%46.33%47.62%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alexander Blockx (Visit)
Prediction 55.31%1.81fair odd
EV -0.447%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.559%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%55.68%55.11%65.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.671.671.8069.93%59.87%59.88%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristian Garin (Local): 44.69%; Alexander Blockx (Visit): 55.31%. For Cristian Garin (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +20.67%E +7.66%K +12.16%G +2.51% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -20.91%E -14.62%K -48.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 02:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +12.63%E +5.01%K +8.31%G +1.05% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -14.83%E -9.63%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 08:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +6.37%E +2.68%K +4.62%G +0.294% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -12.06%E -7.59%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 08:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV +5.03%E +2.14%K +3.72%G +0.187% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -17.04%E -11.36%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 09:12 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -7.08%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-23 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 08:38 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.51%E -7.19%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 09:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -12.06%E -7.59%K -20.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -12.61%E -7.98%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -14.27%E -9.21%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +1.90%E +0.833%K +1.48%G +0.028% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.85%E -6.04%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.30%E -5.67%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 08:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.40%E -6.42%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.51%E -7.19%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -12.61%E -7.98%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -12.61%E -7.98%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 08:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.51%E -7.19%K -19.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -12.61%E -7.98%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.19%E -4.93%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.40%E -6.42%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -4.36%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -9.85%E -6.04%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.30%E -5.67%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.49%E -3.62%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.49%E -3.62%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.72%E -4.81%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.08%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.00%E -0.559%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -11.95%E -6.07%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -13.30%E -6.85%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -7.08%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.64%E -7.66%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.447%E -0.249%K -0.559%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 0.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 0.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Novig◎ | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |