L’École des cotes

Cristian Garin v Alexander Blockx

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 09:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cristian Garin (Local)

Prévision 44.69%2.24cote équitable
EV +20.67%
Avantage +7.66%
Kelly +12.16%
Croissance +2.51%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.62%44.32%44.89%48.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.162.102.7052.36%46.33%47.62%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alexander Blockx (Visiteur)

Prévision 55.31%1.81cote équitable
EV -0.447%
Avantage -0.249%
Kelly -0.559%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.48%55.68%55.11%65.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.671.671.8069.93%59.87%59.88%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Fliff2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +20.67%E +7.66%K +12.16%G +2.51%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -20.91%E -14.62%K -48.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 02:34
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV +12.63%E +5.01%K +8.31%G +1.05%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -14.83%E -9.63%K -27.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 08:50
GTbets2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +6.37%E +2.68%K +4.62%G +0.294%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -12.06%E -7.59%K -20.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 08:35
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV +5.03%E +2.14%K +3.72%G +0.187%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -17.04%E -11.36%K -34.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 09:12
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -7.08%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-23 09:10
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 08:38
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-23 08:39
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -11.51%E -7.19%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -12.06%E -7.59%K -20.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -12.61%E -7.98%K -21.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 09:14
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV +2.79%E +1.21%K +2.15%G +0.060%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -14.27%E -9.21%K -25.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:05
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV +1.90%E +0.833%K +1.48%G +0.028%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -9.85%E -6.04%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-23 09:05
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -9.30%E -5.67%K -14.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 08:35
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -10.40%E -6.42%K -16.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 09:04
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -11.51%E -7.19%K -19.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:00
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -12.61%E -7.98%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +0.559%E +0.249%K +0.447%G +0.003%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -12.61%E -7.98%K -21.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 08:39
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:14
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 09:00
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.51%E -7.19%K -19.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -1.68%E -0.762%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV -12.61%E -7.98%K -21.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 09:00
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -3.02%E -1.39%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -8.19%E -4.93%K -12.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:14
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -3.46%E -1.60%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 09:14
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 09:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -10.40%E -6.42%K -16.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 09:14
LeoVegas2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -4.36%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -9.85%E -6.04%K -15.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 09:14
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:14
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:14
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:14
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -9.30%E -5.67%K -14.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 09:14
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.49%E -3.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.66%E -1.51%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 09:15
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -7.49%E -3.62%K -7.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 09:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 09:15
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.42%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -9.72%E -4.81%K -9.53%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%EV -7.08%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 09:15
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -1.00%E -0.559%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 09:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 09:15
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.61%E -5.31%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 09:14
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.58%EV -11.95%E -6.07%K -12.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.42%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -13.30%E -6.85%K -14.14%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -7.08%E -4.22%K -10.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 09:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -14.64%E -7.66%K -16.08%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -0.447%E -0.249%K -0.559%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-04-23 09:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%0.7%2026-04-23 09:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-04-23 09:15
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%4.8%2026-04-23 09:15
Novig2.03I 49.26%NM 46.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.70%6.4%2026-04-23 09:15