Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.57
assuming max odds 2.69
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ben Shelton (Local): 63.20%; Dino Prizmic (Visit): 36.80%. For Ben Shelton (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.57, with an expected value of -0.777%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.777%E -0.495%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.41%E -5.22%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 09:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.48%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.85%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 02:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.01%E -0.374%K -0.595%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.74%E -0.652%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.74%E -0.652%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.48%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-23 21:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.48%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.58%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 20:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -5.79%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 20:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 21:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.53%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 12:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 21:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.83%E -3.91%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.83%E -3.91%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 21:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.36%E -5.77%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 2.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |