La escuela de los momios

Ben Shelton v Dino Prizmic

Inicio: 2026-04-24 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ben Shelton (Local)

Predicción 63.20%1.58momio equitativo
EV -0.777%
Ventaja -0.495%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%62.97%63.26%63.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.501.501.5768.97%66.46%66.67%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dino Prizmic (Visitante)

Predicción 36.80%2.72momio equitativo
EV -1.01%
Ventaja -0.374%
Kelly -0.595%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.10%37.03%36.74%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.552.552.6942.02%39.19%39.22%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -0.777%E -0.495%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -12.41%E -5.22%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 09:50
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.48%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 23:34
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -2.85%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 02:50
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:49
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 21:04
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.31%E -2.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:14
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.01%E -0.374%K -0.595%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-24 03:10
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.74%E -0.652%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:05
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.72%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.28%EV -1.74%E -0.652%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-24 03:05
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.48%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-23 20:40
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-23 21:10
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -3.94%E -2.59%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Betsson1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 21:25
NordicBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 21:25
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -4.57%E -3.03%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -5.05%E -1.96%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:34
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.48%E -0.935%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 23:35
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.58%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 20:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:10
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:10
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 21:20
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -5.79%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 09:15
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 23:35
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:25
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 20:39
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 21:19
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:44
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:44
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:44
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-24 02:45
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.53%E -2.57%K -4.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:20
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 12:49
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:50
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 21:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:04
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.84%E -4.02%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 21:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.20%E -3.47%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.68%E -4.87%K -8.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 03:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.83%E -3.91%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:45
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.83%E -3.91%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 02:45
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.32%E -1.66%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.47%E -4.37%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:05
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.10%E -4.83%K -15.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -8.00%E -3.20%K -5.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 21:20
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.36%E -5.77%K -18.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.16%E -2.41%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 20:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Matchbook1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-04-24 03:25
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72%2.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%3.1%2026-04-24 03:45