Language:English
Matteo Arnaldi v Rei Sakamoto
Head to Head
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Prediction 47.14%2.12fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.19%47.17%47.12%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.25%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rei Sakamoto (Visit)
Prediction 52.86%1.89fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%52.83%52.88%53.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.791.801.8359.52%55.93%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Matteo Arnaldi (Local): 47.14%; Rei Sakamoto (Visit): 52.86%. For Rei Sakamoto (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.83, with an expected value of -3.26%; they do not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 05:26 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.96%E -3.96%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.84%E -1.88%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.38%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.26%E -1.78%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.32%E -2.39%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 05:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.43%E -3.63%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.55%E -4.94%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.20%E -3.11%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.38%E -3.00%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.20%E -3.11%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -6.96%E -3.96%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.90%E -3.32%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.08%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-29 06:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.08%E -4.14%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 05:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.08%E -4.14%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.85%E -2.69%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 05:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.08%E -4.14%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 06:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.08%E -4.14%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.49%E -4.28%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-29 06:01 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.02%E -4.61%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -10.44%E -5.49%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.07%EV -11.19%E -6.66%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 07:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 06:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 06:06 |