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Matteo Arnaldi v Rei Sakamoto
Resultado del partido
Matteo Arnaldi (Local)
Predicción 46.39%2.16momio equitativo
EV -0.254%
Ventaja -0.118%
Kelly -0.221%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.01%46.23%46.74%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.902.072.062.1552.63%48.30%48.43%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rei Sakamoto (Visitante)
Predicción 53.61%1.87momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -4.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.77%53.26%55.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.731.731.8061.35%57.79%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Matteo Arnaldi (Local): 46.39%; Rei Sakamoto (Visitante): 53.61%. Para Matteo Arnaldi (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.16. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.15, con un valor esperado de -0.254%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 07:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -8.87%E -5.22%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -0.254%E -0.118%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -9.40%E -5.57%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.57%E -1.23%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-29 07:52 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.57%E -1.23%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.57%E -1.23%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.57%E -1.23%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.57%E -1.23%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.65%EV -3.97%E -1.92%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.35%EV -2.97%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-29 07:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.89%E -2.39%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.89%E -2.39%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 07:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.89%E -2.39%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.65%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.89%E -2.39%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.65%E -3.21%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.89%E -2.39%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.36%E -2.63%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.04%E -2.26%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.29%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.29%E -3.11%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -6.19%E -3.54%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.75%E -3.36%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 08:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -2.97%E -1.64%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.51%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-29 05:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.58%E -2.57%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-29 05:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 05:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 05:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 07:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 07:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.26%E -4.20%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-29 07:56 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.21%E -3.61%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.80%E -4.53%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -11.39%E -5.96%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -6.72%E -3.86%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-29 05:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.93%EV -11.85%E -6.24%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.07%EV -9.94%E -5.92%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-29 05:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 1.7% | 2026-09-29 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05% | 2.1% | 2026-09-29 07:50 |