Language:English
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Rafael Jodar
Head to Head
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Prediction 17.89%5.59fair odd
EV +11.81%
Edge +1.89%
Kelly +2.25%
Growth +0.266%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.20%17.90%17.91%20.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.455.615.506.2522.47%17.81%18.18%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visit)
Prediction 82.11%1.22fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -23.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.89%82.10%82.09%84.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.121.1792.59%88.57%89.29%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 17.89%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 82.11%. For Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 15 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.25, producing a positive expected value of +11.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 11:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 12:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +5.55%E +0.940%K +1.13%G +0.063% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-29 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +1.97%E +0.345%K +0.419%G +0.008% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-29 12:38 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -11.32%E -10.48%K -141.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-29 11:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-29 12:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-29 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-29 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 10:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 12:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.98%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 12:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-29 10:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-29 12:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.45%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.28%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-29 12:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-29 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -19.50%E -4.33%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-29 12:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.11%EV -20.39%E -4.58%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 79.89%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-29 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.59% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 78.41% | 20.3% | 2026-09-29 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.59% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 78.41% | 20.3% | 2026-09-29 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 21.59% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 78.41% | 20.3% | 2026-09-29 12:55 |