默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Rafael Jodar

2026-10-01 02:00 UTC — ATP Japan Open

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (主队)

预测 17.89%5.59公平赔率
EV +11.81%
优势 +1.89%
Kelly +2.25%
增长率 +0.266%

假设最高赔率为 6.25

博彩公司预测分布
15.20%17.90%17.91%20.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.455.625.556.2522.47%17.80%18.02%16.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rafael Jodar (客队)

预测 82.11%1.22公平赔率
EV -3.93%
优势 -3.36%
Kelly -23.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.17

博彩公司预测分布
79.89%82.10%82.09%84.80%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.081.131.121.1792.59%88.60%89.29%85.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (主队):17.89%;Rafael Jodar (客队):82.11%。 对于“Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.59。 有15家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为6.25,由此产生+11.81%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Grosvenor🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:25
Casumo🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:24
Unibet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:25
TABtouch🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:25
betPARX🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:24
Virgin Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 11:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.81%E +1.89%K +2.25%G +0.266%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:20
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV +5.55%E +0.940%K +1.13%G +0.063%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-29 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +1.97%E +0.345%K +0.419%G +0.008%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-29 12:38
PMU (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.17%EV +0.180%E +0.032%K +0.039%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 83.83%EV -11.32%E -10.48%K -141.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-29 11:24
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-29 12:34
Sky Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-29 11:50
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.61%E -0.293%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-29 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.57%E -4.85%K -37.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 12:39
SportsBet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -3.40%E -0.629%K -0.772%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.21%E -6.38%K -55.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -6.08%E -1.16%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-29 12:35
theScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -6.98%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-29 12:40
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:34
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.93%E -3.36%K -23.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 10:34
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 12:30
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.55%E -2.11%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-29 12:31
LeoVegas🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.72%EV -11.45%E -2.31%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.28%EV -6.39%E -5.61%K -45.67%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-29 12:39
ReBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%EV -15.92%E -3.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.76%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-29 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -19.50%E -4.33%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.07%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-29 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.11%EV -20.39%E -4.58%K -5.91%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 79.89%EV -8.04%E -7.17%K -66.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-29 12:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 21.59%1.06I 94.34%NM 78.41%20.3%2026-09-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 21.59%1.06I 94.34%NM 78.41%20.3%2026-09-29 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.85I 25.97%NM 21.59%1.06I 94.34%NM 78.41%20.3%2026-09-29 12:55