Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.86
assuming max odds 2.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zizou Bergs (Local): 54.22%; Terence Atmane (Visit): 45.78%. For Zizou Bergs (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.86, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.850%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.850%E +0.457%K +0.989%G +0.008% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -10.27%E -5.24%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.308%E +0.167%K +0.363%G +0.001% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.73%E -5.50%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.32%E -0.724%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-07 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 08:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 21:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.32%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.73%E -5.50%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 06:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.57%E -0.732%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-05 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 08:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.32%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.57%E -0.732%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 03:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -4.32%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 06:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 08:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 08:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 0.6% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84% | 1.7% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02% | 3.5% | 2026-05-07 08:55 |