L’École des cotes

Zizou Bergs v Terence Atmane

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-07 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zizou Bergs (Local)

Prévision 54.22%1.84cote équitable
EV +0.850%
Avantage +0.457%
Kelly +0.989%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.31%54.14%54.17%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.741.731.8659.52%57.36%57.64%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Terence Atmane (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.78%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%45.86%45.83%48.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.092.1551.28%48.09%47.73%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV +0.850%E +0.457%K +0.989%G +0.008%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -10.27%E -5.24%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-07 08:55
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV +0.308%E +0.167%K +0.363%G +0.001%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.73%E -5.50%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -1.32%E -0.724%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-07 08:30
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.83%EV -1.86%E -1.03%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.17%EV -3.41%E -1.61%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-07 08:35
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-07 08:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 08:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 08:55
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-07 08:40
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.49%E -1.96%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 08:55
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 08:55
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-07 08:55
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 21:20
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.03%E -2.28%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-07 08:30
Unibet (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.32%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-07 08:55
ReBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 08:55
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 08:54
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-07 08:55
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:10
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.57%E -2.60%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-07 08:30
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-07 08:55
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 08:55
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.73%E -5.50%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 08:55
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -2.95%E -1.39%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-07 08:55
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:55
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 08:25
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 08:40
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.66%E -3.25%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 06:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -1.57%E -0.732%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-05 13:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 08:25
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 08:14
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -6.20%E -3.58%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -4.78%E -2.30%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 08:45
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-07 08:55
Codere (IT)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -4.32%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 08:25
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 08:25
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.74%E -3.92%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.44%E -4.22%K -8.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-07 08:25
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -1.57%E -0.732%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 08:30
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:30
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:30
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:30
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:30
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.03%E -0.950%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 08:25
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 03:15
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.28%E -4.26%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 08:55
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 08:25
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -4.32%E -2.07%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 06:24
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.15%E -3.00%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 08:14
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 08:25
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -8.91%E -5.30%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -3.86%E -1.84%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 08:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%0.6%2026-05-07 08:55
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-05-07 08:55
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%3.5%2026-05-07 08:55